Ever since last summer, a federal moratorium on evictions has prevented landlords from evicting millions of tenants that are behind on their rent payments. This moratorium has caused extreme financial distress for many landlords, but it has also kept us from witnessing millions upon millions of Americans being thrown out into the streets.
Unfortunately for renters, the moratorium had a few constitutional questions hanging over it, and it was just a matter of time before the whole thing was challenged in court. Recently, a federal judge in the Eastern District of Texas named John Campbell Barker ruled the federal moratorium to be unconstitutional…
J. Campbell Barker, a Trump-nominated judge in the Eastern District of Texas, issued the 21-page ruling Thursday in response to a lawsuit from a group of landlords and property managers.
“The federal government cannot say that it has ever before invoked its power over interstate commerce to impose a residential eviction moratorium,” Barker wrote, noting that it did not do so during the Spanish Flu pandemic or during the Great Depression. “The federal government has not claimed such a power at any point during our nation’s history until last year.”
But Barker did not issue any sort of an injunction, and so the moratorium is still in effect for the moment. In his ruling, Barker expressed his belief that the defendants will “respect the declaratory judgment” and will willingly withdraw the moratorium on their own…
The scope of the order is unclear. Barker wrote that given “defendants’ representations to the court, it is ‘anticipated that [defendants] would respect the declaratory judgment.’”
Federal officials could attempt to drag their feet, but the current moratorium is set to expire on March 31st anyway.
So whether it happens immediately or in a few weeks, the federal moratorium on evictions is ending.
Of course some states have their own moratoriums in place, and Barker noted that those are constitutional. So renters in those states will still have at least some protection moving forward.
But for most of the country, things are about to change in a major way.
According to one recent study, a whopping 10 million U.S. households are currently behind on their rent payments…
An analysis released last month by Moody’s Analytics and the Urban Institute said that some 10 million renters are behind on paying rent and risk being evicted. Moreover, the typical delinquent renter is almost four months and $5,600 behind on monthly rent and utility payments as of January, according to the analysis.
“To put that into some perspective, approximately seven million households lost their homes in foreclosure during the five darkest years of the global financial crisis,” the researchers wrote. “Here we have 10 million families facing a similar fate over a matter of months.”
Even if rent moratoriums remain in place in some states for the foreseeable future, we are still going to see millions upon millions of households evicted here in 2021.
It will be the largest tsunami of evictions in U.S. history, and homelessness is going to rise dramatically.
Needless to say, it isn’t going to be a happy time.
Meanwhile, we have already been witnessing a tsunami of bankruptcies.
In fact, the number of Chapter 11 bankruptcy filings in 2020 was “at least 30 percent higher than any of the previous four years”…
Bankruptcies filed by entertainment companies in 2020 nearly quadrupled, and filings nearly tripled for oil and gas companies, doubled for computer and software companies and were up 50 percent or more for restaurant owners, real estate companies and retailers, compared with 2019, data from the research firm show. There were 5,236 Chapter 11 filings in 2019, but 6,917 last year, a tally at least 30 percent higher than any of the previous four years.
This isn’t what an “economic recovery” looks like.
Sadly, the truth of the matter is that the U.S. economy is in the process of melting down all around us, and a whole lot more pain is ahead.
Up until just recently, the stock market had been one of the very few bright spots, however with rates set to spiral out of control, stocks have also been prone to wild swings over the past few weeks.
While it’s not clear that a massive stock market crash is imminent (the Fed sure seems to have made it a priority to prevent such a thing from happening) the early warning signs that we are witnessing now should definitely not be ignored.
Many are expecting economic conditions in the U.S. to improve as the COVID pandemic fades, but it is inevitable that many more “trigger events” will hit us in 2021 and beyond.
Considering how vulnerable we are right now, it certainly isn’t going to take much to send the whole thing careening south in a hurry.
Unfortunately, it is always those at the very bottom of the economic food chain that get hit the hardest when challenging times arrive as evidenced by the looming wave of evictions.
Indeed the millions of Americans that will soon be thrown out into the streets should nothing transpire to prevent that, could very well be the beginning of the largest social crisis in American history.
Likewise, forcing landlords into bankruptcy without any financial support from the government would lead to a housing crisis of equally large proportions.
Either way, there is every potential for economic pain and suffering to very soon be off the charts.
Will the government be able to avoid mass evictions?